Daily Newsletter

05 October 2023

Daily Newsletter

05 October 2023

US sends seized Iranian arms to Ukraine

In a move aimed at countering Iran's influence in the region and supporting Ukraine's struggle against Russia's invasion, the United States government has transferred 1.1m rounds of seized munitions to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Harry McNeil October 05 2023

In a effort to thwart Iran's influence in the Middle East region and provide support to Ukraine amid Russia's invasion, the United States government has initiated the transfer of 1.1m seized munitions to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Acquired through civil forfeiture claims against the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), this follows the US’s application of sanctions against a network of targets supporting Russia via Iran's UAV programme.

These munitions, originally confiscated from a stateless dhow named MARWAN 1 by US Central Command naval forces on December 9, 2022, were intended to be shipped from Iran's IRGC to the Houthi rebels in Yemen, a direct violation of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2216. The US has had a history of tensions in the US-Iranian conflict as activity has risen in the Gulf of Oman.

The move serves as a response to Iran's persistent support for armed groups in the Middle East, which has long been a cause for concern due to its threats to international and regional security, US forces, diplomatic personnel, citizens, and allies. 

This strategic operation also reflects the broader goal of the United States to curb Iran's influence and prevent the proliferation of Iranian lethal aid to various conflict zones. Simultaneously, it contributes to the US's longstanding commitment to bolster Ukraine's self-defence capabilities.

According to GlobaldData’s “US Defense Market 2022-2027” report, the US is providing numerous weapons and large volumes of military aid to Ukraine, requiring significant funding. Iran is currently supplying Russia with firearms, including loitering munitions used in Ukraine.

As tensions in both the Middle East and Ukraine continue to evolve, this operation underscores the US government's proactive and strategic stance in safeguarding its allies' interests while undermining Iran's actions. 

In GlobalData’s ‘Analyst briefing: Munitions shortage in Ukraine conflict raises questions about the capacity to sustain materiel production in high-intensity warfare’ Tristan Sauer highlights the importance of munition supply in the Ukranian-Russian war.

“Since the outbreak of the first high-intensity conflict on the European subcontinent since WWII, one of the key strategic takeaways has been the fundamental failure of the global defence industry to meet the requisite level of production for munitions of all types.”

This development aligns with recent US sanctions on a multinational network involved in Iran's unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and military aircraft industry, spanning four countries and comprising 11 individuals and entities. These sanctions directly respond to Iran's support for Russia's actions in Ukraine, particularly the supply of weapons, including loitering munitions, from Iran to Russia. 

Directed Energy Weapons (DEWs) are beginning to see combat deployment

The recent introduction of hypersonic missiles into the global threat matrix has led some observers to consider the potential of DEW as an effective countermeasure to this emerging technology. Consequently, the DEW market presents significant potential for growth due to rising global demand and extensive opportunities for technological innovation, though the exorbitant cost of most DEW systems poses its own challenges, most notably higher financial risk during R&D as well as a relatively limited pool of viable customers.

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